Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
22% ( 0.23) | 24.19% | 53.81% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.92% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.77% ( 0.25) | 50.23% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.81% ( 0.22) | 72.18% ( -0.22) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% ( 0.37) | 37.45% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.76% ( 0.36) | 74.24% ( -0.36) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% ( 0.01) | 18.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% ( 0.01) | 49.86% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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