Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
| 47.7% | 25.73% | 26.57% |
| Both teams to score 51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% | 52.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% | 74.14% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% | 22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.69% | 55.31% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% | 34.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% | 71.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.69% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.08% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.57% |