Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
| 33.2% | 27.29% | 39.5% |
| Both teams to score 49.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% | 55.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% | 76.95% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% | 31.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% | 67.84% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% | 63.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.5% |