Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Notts County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Notts County |
| 28.83% | 28.21% | 42.96% |
| Both teams to score 45.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.61% | 60.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.46% | 80.54% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% | 37.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.14% | 73.86% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% | 27.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% | 63.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.82% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 13.19% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-3 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.15% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.74% Total : 42.95% |