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Aldershot Town
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Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
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Southend United
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Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 22
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Wrexham AFC

York City
1 - 1
Wrexham

Duku (90+2')
Mafuta (32'), Hancox (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Connor (88')
Young (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between York City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 1-0 York City
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3.15pm in FA Cup

We said: York City 0-2 Wrexham

With York in a tricky situation, suffering on and off the pitch, we expect to see the league leaders take full advantage. With the potential return of Palmer to the forward line, the visitors look far too strong. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawWrexham
19.06% (-0.25 -0.25) 23.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 57.5% (0.254 0.25)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (-0.329 -0.33)50.75% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (-0.291 -0.29)72.65% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.17% (-0.472 -0.47)40.83% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.59% (-0.426 -0.43)77.4% (0.429 0.43)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)17.42% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.15% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)47.85% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    York City 19.06%
    Wrexham 57.5%
    Draw 23.44%
York CityDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.06%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.095 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 12.42% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 10.86% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.33% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.77% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 57.5%

How you voted: York City vs Wrexham

York City
37.5%
Draw
0.0%
Wrexham
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
York City
1-3
Wrexham
Parkin (2')
White (30', 58'), Smith (91')
Penn (77'), Carrington (92')
Aug 29, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
York City
Rooney (16' pen.), Newton (63')
Harrad (73'), Newton (87')
Brodie (24')
Brodie (40'), Whittle (59'), Rooney (73'), Fry (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet22152546252147
2York City22136344202445
3Forest Green RoversForest Green21136239172245
4Gateshead22125541271441
5Oldham AthleticOldham20117236191740
6AltrinchamAltrincham229763628834
7Yeovil TownYeovil2210482723434
8Halifax TownHalifax229762522334
9Rochdale2010372819933
10Solihull MoorsSolihull229583835332
11Sutton UnitedSutton229582927232
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool227962424030
13Eastleigh217862928129
14Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red217773526928
15Southend UnitedSouthend226972424027
16Tamworth207582334-1126
17Aldershot TownAldershot2257103139-822
18Fylde2264122743-1622
19Woking2256111932-1321
20WealdstoneWealdstone214892432-820
21Braintree TownBraintree2255121931-1220
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2255122744-1720
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2216151650-349


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