Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City |
35.79% ( -0.07) | 23.14% ( 0.01) | 41.07% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 64.58% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.25% ( -0.05) | 36.74% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.09% ( -0.06) | 58.91% ( 0.05) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% ( -0.06) | 20.85% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.46% ( -0.09) | 53.53% ( 0.09) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% ( 0) | 18.41% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.44% ( 0.01) | 49.56% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City |
2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.79% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 41.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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