Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.