National League | Gameweek 21

Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Meadowbank

Dorking
1 - 0
York City

McShane (21')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 2-3 Bromley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

National League

Last Game: York City 1-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	York City
35.79% ( -0.07)	23.14% ( 0.01)	41.07% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 64.58% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.25% (

-0.05)

36.74% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.09% (

-0.06)

58.91% (

0.05)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

-0.06)

20.85% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

-0.09)

53.53% (

0.09)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59% (

18.41% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.44% (

0.01)

49.56% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 35.79%

York City 41.07%

Draw 23.13%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	York City
2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.79%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.7% Total : 41.07%