FA Cup
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
-
Paul Mullin
49'
-
Elliot Lee
78'
-
Paul Mullin
82'
-
Paul Mullin
90'
-
Oli Pendlebury
62'
Wrexham vs Farnborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F34%2Fphil-parkinson.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 78.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 7.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.28%) and 1-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Wrexham
78.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
13.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Farnborough Town
7.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
44.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.03%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
36.97%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
40.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
59.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
92.53%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
7.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
73.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
26.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5
48.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
51.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
14.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
85.95%
Score analysis
Wrexham
78.97%
Draw
13.87%
Farnborough Town
7.15%
Wrexham
2-0
@
13.05%
3-0 @ 11.28%
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43%
6-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 78.97%
3-0 @ 11.28%
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43%
6-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 78.97%
Draw
1-1
@
6.6%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 13.87%
0-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 13.87%
Farnborough Town
0-1
@
2.54%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 7.15%
1-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 7.15%