FA Cup
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Nathan Tella 2' goal
  • Nathan Tella 90'+4' goal
  • goal George Hirst 3'

Burnley vs Ipswich Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result

Burnley 50.25% (+0.04)
Draw 24% (-0.03)
Ipswich Town 25.75% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.75% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.13% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 45.87% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.81% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 68.18% (-0.08)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 81.69% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 18.3% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 50.61% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 49.38% (-0.08)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.25% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.75% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.82% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.17% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Burnley 50.25%
Draw 24%
Ipswich Town 25.75%
Burnley
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.44% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 50.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24%
Ipswich Town
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 25.75%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Portman Road Stadium
Championship
Jan 2, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matthew Lowton 59' yellowcard
  • Joey Barton 91' yellowcard
Championship
Aug 18, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Freddie Sears 66' goal
  • David McGoldrick 71' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Kightly 92'
Championship
Apr 26, 2014 12.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Kightly 54' goal
  • yellowcard Tommy Smith 25'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Williams 82'
Championship
Oct 19, 2013 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Scott Arfield 79'
Championship
May 4, 2013 12.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brian Stock 45' yellowcard
  • Junior Stanislas 60' goal
  • Martin Paterson 87' goal