FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays

Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Ipswich

Tella (2', 90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hirst (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Burnley and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Burnley
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ipswich Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Ipswich Town
50.25% ( 0.03)	24% ( -0.02)	25.75% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.75% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.13% (

0.08)

45.87% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.81% (

0.07)

68.18% (

-0.07)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69% (

0.04)

18.3% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.61% (

0.07)

49.38% (

-0.07)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

0.03)

31.75% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

0.04)

68.17% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Burnley 50.25%

Ipswich Town 25.75%

Draw 24%

Burnley	Draw	Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 50.25%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.75%