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Championship header 2

League One

Ipswich logo
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Ipswich
1 - 1
Plymouth

Burns (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mumba (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Ipswich 4-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.24% (0.194 0.19)19.51% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)13.25% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.085999999999999 0.09)44.62% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)66.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (0.079999999999998 0.08)12.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (0.169 0.17)38.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.25% (-0.126 -0.13)44.75% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.26% (-0.104 -0.1)80.73% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 67.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 13.25%
    Draw 19.51%
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.22%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.51%
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 13.25%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth

Ipswich Town
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Plymouth Argyle
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 12.30pm
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Mumba (69'), Whittaker (75')
Ladapo (39')
Harness (20')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Plymouth
Morsy (37')
Morsy (28'), Burns (63')

Crichlow (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Jephcott (44'), Grant (50')
Garrick (75')
Edmundson (14')
Edmundson (22'), Chaplin (26'), Morsy (56'), Nsiala (75')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Plymouth
Parrott (4')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Ipswich
Jephcott (14')
Mayor (52'), Nouble (71'), Watts (79')
Mayor (71')
Nolan (73'), Jackson (74')
McGavin (50'), Cornell (90+2')