Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.25%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.