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FA Cup

Ipswich logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Rotherham logo

Ipswich
4 - 1
Rotherham

Humphreys (43'), Chaplin (74' pen.), Ladapo (79'), Burns (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Washington (47' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.25%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawRotherham United
73.61% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)16.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)9.66% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.69% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24% (-0.182 -0.18)41.77% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (-0.184 -0.18)64.17% (0.184 0.18)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.15% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)9.85% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.33% (-0.136 -0.14)32.67% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.68% (-0.116 -0.12)49.32% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.82% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)84.18% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 73.59%
    Rotherham United 9.66%
    Draw 16.73%
Ipswich TownDrawRotherham United
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.25% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 10.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 73.59%
1-1 @ 7.96% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.73%
0-1 @ 3.43% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 9.66%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Rotherham

Ipswich Town
68.9%
Draw
17.8%
Rotherham United
13.3%
45
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 12.30pm
Rotherham
1-0
Ipswich
Smith (78')
Edmonds-Green (63')

Burns (45'), Celina (45+4'), Norwood (47'), Woolfenden (56'), Aluko (65')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Ipswich
0-2
Rotherham

Morsy (88')
Wiles (24'), Ferguson (59')
Lindsay (40'), Ihiekwe (43'), Barlaser (87')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Rotherham
1-0
Ipswich
Wood (42')
Crooks (37'), Mattock (83')

Huws (43'), Woolfenden (78')
Oct 23, 2019 7.45pm
Ipswich
0-2
Rotherham

Edwards (78')
Crooks (11', 48')
Clarke (29'), Jones (43'), Mattock (76')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Rotherham
Keane (31')
Skuse (45'), Sears (67')

Vyner (13')
> Match Report
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