League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Plymouth3 - 1MK Dons
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Wycombe
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 MK Dons
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 MK Dons
In a match with consequences at both ends of the table, we expect both sides to compete with vigour as they seek a crucial three points for different reasons. Despite this, it is impossible to envisage anything other than a comfortable Plymouth victory that will keep their quest for promotion on the right track. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | MK Dons |
57.31% ( 0.64) | 22.68% ( -0.21) | 20.01% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
