/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fplylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
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James Wilson
4'
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Niall Ennis
37'
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Morgan Whittaker
53'
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Nathan Holland
19'
Plymouth Argyle vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F01%2Fsteven-schumacher.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result
Plymouth Argyle
57.31%
▲
(+0.64)
Draw
22.68%
▼
(-0.21)
MK Dons
20.01%
▼
(-0.43)
Both Teams to Score:
52.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.64%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 2.5
46.36%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 3.5
31.35%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 3.5
68.65%
▼
(-0.32)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5
84.07%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
15.93%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
54.82%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 1.5
45.18%
▼
(-0.62)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
62.74%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
37.26%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
25.95%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
74.05%
▲
(+0.24)
Score analysis
Plymouth Argyle
57.3%
Draw
22.68%
MK Dons
20.01%
Plymouth Argyle
1-0
@
10.9%
▼
(-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-98.17)
5-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-97.58)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.3%
2-0 @ 10.01% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-98.17)
5-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-97.58)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.3%
Draw
1-1
@
10.76%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22.68%
0-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22.68%
MK Dons
0-1
@
5.86%
▼
(-0.13)
1-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 20.01%
1-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 20.01%
