League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 1
MK Dons

Wilson (4'), Ennis (37'), Whittaker (53')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Holland (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Wycombe
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 MK Dons
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	MK Dons
57.31% ( 0.64)	22.68% ( -0.21)	20.01% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 52.75% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.64% (

0.34)

46.36% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35% (

0.32)

68.65% (

-0.32)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.07% (

0.33)

15.93% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.82% (

0.61)

45.18% (

-0.61)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

-0.25)

37.26% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

-0.24)

74.05% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 57.3%

MK Dons 20.01%

Draw 22.68%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.3%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.68%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.01%