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League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
MK Dons

Peterborough
2 - 0
MK Dons

Ward (38'), Jade-Jones (48')
Burrows (27'), Poku (73'), Jade-Jones (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Grigg (30'), Jules (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Peterborough United and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 MK Dons

The visitors are unquestionably in better form heading into this match, having seemingly put their early season woes behind them. As such, we expect an entertaining encounter, with both teams unlikely to be too perturbed by gaining a point should the match be heading into that direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawMK Dons
61.46% (-0.226 -0.23) 21.62% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 16.92% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 50.49% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)46.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (0.026 0.03)68.8% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)14.62% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.26% (-0.12 -0.12)42.73% (0.118 0.12)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14% (0.225 0.23)40.86% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.57% (0.199 0.2)77.43% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 61.45%
    MK Dons 16.92%
    Draw 21.62%
Peterborough UnitedDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 61.45%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 16.92%

How you voted: Peterborough vs MK Dons

Peterborough United
47.1%
Draw
23.5%
MK Dons
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
2-3
Peterborough
Harvie (90'), Smith (90+1')
Clarke-Harris (3'), Poku (36'), Jade-Jones (54')
Fuchs (32')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-1
Peterborough
Jerome (78')
Sorinola (32'), Lewington (53'), Kasumu (55'), Harvie (65')
Clarke-Harris (25')
Pym (45+1'), Burrows (68')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
MK Dons
0-4
Peterborough

Boateng (62'), Harley (93')
Maddison (21'), Toney (28'), Eisa (40', 72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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