League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
2 - 0
MK Dons

Ward (38'), Jade-Jones (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Peterborough United and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Peterborough
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

League One

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Forest Green
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	MK Dons
61.46% ( -0.23)	21.62% ( 0.06)	16.92% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 50.49% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.47% (

0.03)

46.52% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2% (

0.03)

68.8% (

-0.03)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.38% (

-0.06)

14.62% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.26% (

-0.12)

42.73% (

0.12)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.14% (

0.23)

40.86% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.57% (

0.2)

77.43% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 61.45%

MK Dons 16.92%

Draw 21.62%

Peterborough United	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.45%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.62%	0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.92%