EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Peterborough United

Chelsea U21s
2 - 4
Peterborough

Clarke-Harris (26'), Taylor (61')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Mothersille (18', 45+1'), Casadei (23'), Elliott (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Chelsea Under-21s and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 3-0 Spurs U21s
Monday, November 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Peterborough United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 11.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Under-21sDrawPeterborough United
70.95% (-1.075 -1.08)17.48% (0.463 0.46)11.57% (0.612 0.61)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.503 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.43% (-0.451 -0.45)39.57% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.08% (-0.473 -0.47)61.92% (0.471 0.47)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.07% (-0.376 -0.38)9.92% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.14% (-0.878 -0.88)32.85% (0.876 0.88)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.74% (0.785 0.79)44.25% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67% (0.635 0.63)80.33% (-0.636 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Under-21s 70.94%
    Peterborough United 11.57%
    Draw 17.48%
Chelsea Under-21sDrawPeterborough United
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 9.03% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.21% (-0.242 -0.24)
4-1 @ 4.25% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.41% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 70.94%
1-1 @ 8.27% (0.215 0.22)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.48%
0-1 @ 3.58% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.37% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.57%

How you voted: Chelsea U21s vs Peterborough

Chelsea Under-21s
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Peterborough United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2019 7pm
Chelsea U21s
1-3
Peterborough
Nartey (45')
Gilmour (40')
Dembele (65'), Toney (72'), Maddison (74')
Reed (75')