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League One | Gameweek 38
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bolton
0 - 0
Plymouth

FT

Edwards (70'), Wilson (70'), Cooper (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

This is set to be a very close and intense game between two of the strongest teams in the division that are both in great form. However, as the current league leaders Plymouth Argyle will be considered the favourites and should just have enough quality to edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
53.79% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 23.57% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 22.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01% (0.198 0.2)46.99% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77% (0.184 0.18)69.23% (-0.182 -0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (0.070999999999998 0.07)17.39% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (0.12 0.12)47.8% (-0.119 -0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.15300000000001 0.15)35.03% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (0.162 0.16)71.78% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.79%
    Plymouth Argyle 22.64%
    Draw 23.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.86% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.64%

How you voted: Bolton vs Plymouth

Bolton Wanderers
30.4%
Draw
21.7%
Plymouth Argyle
47.8%
23
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Bolton
Ennis (34'), Hardie (88')
Ennis (40'), Edwards (53')

Bradley (65')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Plymouth
3-0
Bolton
Galloway (6'), Grant (15'), Broom (90+4')
Galloway (90+1')

Bakayoko (12'), Afolayan (50'), Lee (54')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Bolton
0-1
Plymouth

Murphy (31')
McFadzean (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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