FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
0 - 0
Burnley

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 West Brom
Friday, January 20 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Burnley
46.91% ( 0.09)	24.53% ( 0.01)	28.55% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 56.31% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.79% (

-0.09)

46.21% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.49% (

-0.08)

68.5% (

0.08)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

19.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.15% (

0.01)

51.84% (

-0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2% (

-0.12)

29.8% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12% (

-0.14)

65.87% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 46.91%

Burnley 28.55%

Draw 24.53%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.91%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.55%