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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Morecambe

Ipswich
4 - 0
Morecambe

Ladapo (1', 16'), Chaplin (38', 45+6')
Chaplin (70')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Bedeau (49'), Crowley (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Morecambe

Morecambe will have taken confidence from their recent run, and they will certainly be the fresher of the two sides heading into this match. Ipswich have picked up 26 home points this season, though, and we are fully expecting the Blues to secure all three points on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMorecambe
79.85% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 13.65% (-0.02 -0.02) 6.5% (-0.0241 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)38.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)61.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.33% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)7.67% (-0.0088999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)55% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.12% (-0.041 -0.04)87.88% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 79.84%
    Morecambe 6.5%
    Draw 13.65%
Ipswich TownDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 13.91% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.9% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
5-0 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.68% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 79.84%
1-1 @ 6.48% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 13.65%
0-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 6.5%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Morecambe

Ipswich Town
87.2%
Draw
10.3%
Morecambe
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Ipswich
K (34')
Fane (23')
Edmundson (54'), Evans (65' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Ipswich
2-2
Morecambe
Fraser (61'), Bonne (90+1')
Evans (77'), Penney (79'), Norwood (83')
Stockton (22', 72')
O'Connor (49'), Gibson (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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