Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 6.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 79.85% ( | 13.65% ( | 6.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.28% ( | 38.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.97% ( | 61.03% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.33% ( | 7.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.62% ( | 27.38% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.99% ( | 55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.12% ( | 87.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-0 @ 13.91% ( 3-0 @ 11.9% ( 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 4-0 @ 7.64% ( 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 4-1 @ 4.57% ( 5-0 @ 3.92% ( 5-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 6-0 @ 1.68% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.12% Total : 79.84% | 1-1 @ 6.48% ( 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 2-2 @ 2.49% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 13.65% | 0-1 @ 2.52% ( 1-2 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 6.5% |