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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Morecambe

Ipswich
4 - 0
Morecambe

Ladapo (1', 16'), Chaplin (38', 45+6')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMorecambe
79.85% (0.042000000000002 0.04)13.65% (-0.02 -0.02)6.5% (-0.0241 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)38.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)61.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.33% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)7.67% (-0.0088999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)55% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.12% (-0.041 -0.04)87.88% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 79.84%
    Morecambe 6.5%
    Draw 13.65%
Ipswich TownDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 13.91% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.9% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
5-0 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.68% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 79.84%
1-1 @ 6.48% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 13.65%
0-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 6.5%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Morecambe

Ipswich Town
87.2%
Draw
10.3%
Morecambe
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Ipswich
K (34')
Fane (23')
Edmundson (54'), Evans (65' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Ipswich
2-2
Morecambe
Fraser (61'), Bonne (90+1')
Evans (77'), Penney (79'), Norwood (83')
Stockton (22', 72')
O'Connor (49'), Gibson (75')
rhs 2.0


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