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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 23.85% ( | 24.13% ( | 52.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.87% ( | 48.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.71% ( | 70.29% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( | 34.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% ( | 71.29% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( | 18.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.31% ( | 49.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 3-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 23.85% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.01% |