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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Ipswich logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Ipswich

Wildschut (34'), Brannagan (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davis (38')
Donacien (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich's most recent league win took place against Oxford on Boxing Day, and although we do not think it will be as one-sided as that 3-0 scoreline, we still believe that the Tractor Boys will draw upon that experience to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
23.85% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 24.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 52.01% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.131 0.13)48.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.121 0.12)70.29% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.155 0.16)34.57% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (0.166 0.17)71.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31% (0.027999999999999 0.03)49.69% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 23.85%
    Ipswich Town 52.01%
    Draw 24.12%
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 23.85%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.01%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Ipswich

Oxford United
30.8%
Draw
15.4%
Ipswich Town
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Ipswich
McNally (90+5')
Williams (90+2'), Sykes (90+6')
Celina (70')
Burns (56'), Bonne (90+4')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Ipswich
0-0
Oxford Utd

Kenlock (76')

Rodriguez (23'), Forde (48'), Winnall (90+4'), (90+5')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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