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Championship header 2

League One

Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Oxford United

Fleetwood
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Wiredu (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joseph (62'), Brown (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 QPR
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Arsenal
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford United
36.5% (-0.129 -0.13)25.96% (0.012 0.01)37.54% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-0.052 -0.05)49.97% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.96% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)26.54% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24% (-0.13 -0.13)61.75% (0.127 0.13)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.95% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (0.057000000000002 0.06)60.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 36.5%
    Oxford United 37.54%
    Draw 25.95%
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 36.5%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Oxford Utd

Fleetwood Town
33.3%
Draw
66.7%
Oxford United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Fleetwood
O'Donkor (50')
Brown (21')
Mendes Gomes (2')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
2-3
Oxford Utd
Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')
Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
Fleetwood
Ruffels (28')
Rodriguez (38'), Winnall (66'), Agyei (76')

Andrew (82')
Mulgrew (6')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Oxford Utd
Camps (1'), Madden (76')
Duffy (90+4')

Ruffels (53'), Long (87')