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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
West Brom logo

Burnley
2 - 1
West Brom

Tella (75'), Twine (87')
Maatsen (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Furlong (7')
Furlong (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Burnley have been unbeatable at home so far this season but now clash with a West Brom side who are firing under Corberan after a difficult spell with Bruce. The Baggies face their toughest assignment since Corberan took charge on Friday night at Turf Moor and you get the feeling they would take a respectable point to keep their unbeaten run going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
56.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 23.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 19.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (0.026000000000003 0.03)51.92% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.023 0.02)73.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)18.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)49.3% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 56.36%
    West Bromwich Albion 19.69%
    Draw 23.93%
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Burnley vs West Brom

Burnley
62.0%
Draw
23.3%
West Bromwich Albion
14.7%
163
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
West Brom
1-1
Burnley
Thomas-Asante (90+8')
Button (29')
Rodriguez (30' pen.)
Cork (36'), Harwood-Bellis (50'), Roberts (71'), Taylor (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
West Brom

Cork (76'), Mee (90+3'), Lowton (90+4')

Ajayi (30')
Oct 19, 2020 5.30pm
Mar 31, 2018 3pm
West Brom
1-2
Burnley
Rondon (84')
Yacob (90')
Barnes (22'), Wood (74')
Barnes (54'), Cork (79'), Pope (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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