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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
West Brom logo

Burnley
2 - 1
West Brom

Tella (75'), Twine (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Furlong (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
56.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)23.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)19.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (0.026000000000003 0.03)51.92% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.023 0.02)73.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)18.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)49.3% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 56.36%
    West Bromwich Albion 19.69%
    Draw 23.93%
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Burnley vs West Brom

Burnley
62.0%
Draw
23.3%
West Bromwich Albion
14.7%
163
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
West Brom
1-1
Burnley
Thomas-Asante (90+8')
Button (29')
Rodriguez (30' pen.)
Cork (36'), Harwood-Bellis (50'), Roberts (71'), Taylor (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
West Brom

Cork (76'), Mee (90+3'), Lowton (90+4')

Ajayi (30')
Oct 19, 2020 5.30pm
Mar 31, 2018 3pm
West Brom
1-2
Burnley
Rondon (84')
Yacob (90')
Barnes (22'), Wood (74')
Barnes (54'), Cork (79'), Pope (90')