Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.