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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Burnley logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Burnley

FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
39.41% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)26.77% (-0.214 -0.21)33.82% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.736 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.905 0.91)53.66% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.757 0.76)75.15% (-0.758 -0.76)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.372 0.37)26.63% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.49 0.49)61.87% (-0.491 -0.49)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.651 0.65)29.97% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.778 0.78)66.08% (-0.779 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 39.4%
    Burnley 33.82%
    Draw 26.77%
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 39.4%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Norwich vs Burnley

Norwich City
22.0%
Draw
8.0%
Burnley
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
Burnley
1-2
Norwich
rhs 2.0


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