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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Norwich logo

Coventry
2 - 4
Norwich

Allen (20'), Palmer (26')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rose (6' og.), Hernandez (10'), Sargent (18'), Dowell (65')
Aarons (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-3 Norwich City

Coventry are down to bare bones in terms of squad depth due to injuries, and that reality is showing as the Sky Blues slide down the Championship table. Norwich displayed what they are capable of doing at this level on a regular basis in their demolition of Preston last weekend, and Wagner should be confident of securing his second win at the helm on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
33.26% (-0.241 -0.24) 26.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 40.4% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.052 0.05)52.02% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (0.044 0.04)73.75% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)29.51% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.159 -0.16)65.53% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.164 0.16)25.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.224 0.22)60.13% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 33.26%
    Norwich City 40.39%
    Draw 26.33%
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.26%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.39%

How you voted: Coventry vs Norwich

Coventry City
6.7%
Draw
10.0%
Norwich City
83.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Norwich
3-0
Coventry
Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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