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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Norwich logo

Coventry
2 - 4
Norwich

Allen (20'), Palmer (26')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rose (6' og.), Hernandez (10'), Sargent (18'), Dowell (65')
Aarons (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-3 Norwich City

Coventry are down to bare bones in terms of squad depth due to injuries, and that reality is showing as the Sky Blues slide down the Championship table. Norwich displayed what they are capable of doing at this level on a regular basis in their demolition of Preston last weekend, and Wagner should be confident of securing his second win at the helm on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
33.26% (-0.241 -0.24) 26.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 40.4% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.052 0.05)52.02% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (0.044 0.04)73.75% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)29.51% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.159 -0.16)65.53% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.164 0.16)25.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.224 0.22)60.13% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 33.26%
    Norwich City 40.39%
    Draw 26.33%
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.26%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.39%

How you voted: Coventry vs Norwich

Coventry City
6.7%
Draw
10.0%
Norwich City
83.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Norwich
3-0
Coventry
Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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