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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bristol City in this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Bristol City |
41.29% ( -1.15) | 26.11% ( -0.15) | 32.6% ( 1.3) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( 0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.77% ( 1.02) | 51.23% ( -1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.93% ( 0.89) | 73.06% ( -0.89) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.47% ( -0.13) | 24.53% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41% ( -0.18) | 58.99% ( 0.18) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.45% ( 1.39) | 29.55% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( 1.66) | 65.57% ( -1.66) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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