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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bristol City in this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Bristol City |
41.29% ( -1.15) | 26.11% ( -0.15) | 32.6% ( 1.3) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( 0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.77% ( 1.02) | 51.23% ( -1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.93% ( 0.89) | 73.06% ( -0.89) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.47% ( -0.13) | 24.53% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41% ( -0.18) | 58.99% ( 0.18) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.45% ( 1.39) | 29.55% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( 1.66) | 65.57% ( -1.66) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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