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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Bristol City

Preston
1 - 2
Bristol City

Evans (61')
Storey (33')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sykes (6'), Bell (45+3')
James (50'), Wells (63'), Cornick (70'), Scott (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Bristol City

Both of these teams have been unpredictable all season and it makes it difficult to predict a result with any confidence. That said, we can only back the visitors, who have momentum after outplaying in-form West Brom in the FA Cup last weekend and are performing better on their travels than Preston are at Deepdale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
41.29% (-1.15 -1.15) 26.11% (-0.152 -0.15) 32.6% (1.302 1.3)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.961 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (1.02 1.02)51.23% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (0.887 0.89)73.06% (-0.887 -0.89)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.128 -0.13)24.53% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (-0.181 -0.18)58.99% (0.182 0.18)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (1.39 1.39)29.55% (-1.389 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (1.664 1.66)65.57% (-1.663 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 41.28%
    Bristol City 32.6%
    Draw 26.1%
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.191 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Preston vs Bristol City

Preston North End
36.9%
Draw
23.1%
Bristol City
40.0%
65
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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