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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Bristol City

Preston
1 - 2
Bristol City

Evans (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sykes (6'), Bell (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
41.29% (-1.15 -1.15)26.11% (-0.152 -0.15)32.6% (1.302 1.3)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.961 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (1.02 1.02)51.23% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (0.887 0.89)73.06% (-0.887 -0.89)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.128 -0.13)24.53% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (-0.181 -0.18)58.99% (0.182 0.18)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (1.39 1.39)29.55% (-1.389 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (1.664 1.66)65.57% (-1.663 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 41.28%
    Bristol City 32.6%
    Draw 26.1%
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.191 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Preston vs Bristol City

Preston North End
36.9%
Draw
23.1%
Bristol City
40.0%
65
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 18, 2020 8pm