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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Watford logo

Reading
2 - 2
Watford

Ince (66' pen.), Hendrick (80')
Mbengue (32'), Holmes (84'), N'Diaye (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (30'), Porteous (48')
Martins (64'), Kamara (76'), Pedro (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Watford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 0-1 Watford

Reading are in danger of falling into a relegation battle if they do not pick up some Championship wins in the coming weeks, with Ince needing to address their worrying habit of self-destructing in games. Watford will hope some timely new arrivals can help strengthen their position in the playoffs, and we are backing them to earn all three points in Berkshire on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawWatford
32.44% (-0.501 -0.5) 27.13% (-0.172 -0.17) 40.42% (0.671 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (0.558 0.56)55.37% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (0.455 0.45)76.57% (-0.456 -0.46)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.74% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)68.17% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (0.63500000000001 0.64)26.87% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (0.827 0.83)62.18% (-0.826 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Reading 32.44%
    Watford 40.42%
    Draw 27.13%
ReadingDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.42%

How you voted: Reading vs Watford

Reading
27.0%
Draw
14.3%
Watford
58.7%
63
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Reading
2-0
Watford
Abretti (45+3'), Long (90+3')
Hutchinson (13'), Mbengue (69')

Morris (59'), Adu-Poku (86')
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Reading
0-2
Watford

Meite (89')
Success (37'), Quina (62')
Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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