Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Tom Ince 66' goal
  • Jeff Hendrick 80' goal
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 30'
  • goal Ryan Porteous 48'

Reading vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
Stoke 4 - 0 Reading
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Tom Ince

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Reading 32.44% (-0.51)
Draw 27.13% (-0.18)
Watford 40.42% (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.92% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.63% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 55.37% (-0.56)
Over 3.5 23.42% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 76.57% (-0.46)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 68.26% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 31.74% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 31.83% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 68.17% (+0.07)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 73.13% (+0.64)
Under 0.5 26.87% (-0.64)
Over 1.5 37.82% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 62.18% (-0.83)

Score analysis

Reading 32.44%
Draw 27.13%
Watford 40.42%
Reading
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.23)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.85% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
Watford
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.45% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 7.37% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.7% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 3.23% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.22% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.06% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.42%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 7, 2023 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Kelvin Abretti 45'+3' goal
  • Shane Long 90'+3' goal
Championship Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Joao Pedro 15' goal
  • Joao Pedro 87' goal
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ismaila Sarr 12' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 14' goal
  • Philip Zinckernagel 17' yellowcard
  • Will Hughes 75' yellowcard
  • Isaac Success 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Rinomhota 56'
Championship Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Madejski Stadium
  • Josh Laurent 39' yellowcard
  • George Puscas 41' goal
  • Omar Richards 62' yellowcard
  • Dejan Tetek 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 40'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 87'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Chalobah 90'+4'
EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2018 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Madejski Stadium (Reading, Berkshire)
  • Yakou Meite 89' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Success 37'
  • goal Domingos Quina 62'
  • yellowcard Marc Navarro 90'
Championship
Mar 14, 2015 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Almen Abdi 1' goal
  • Matej Vydra 39' goal
  • Troy Deeney 48' goal
  • Fernando Forestieri 85' goal
  • goal Jem Karacan 70'