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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Watford

Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
48.46% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)25.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)25.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.78% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)75.25% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79%22.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.62% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.02 0.02)72.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.46%
    Watford 25.63%
    Draw 25.9%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 25.63%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Watford

Middlesbrough
55.2%
Draw
27.6%
Watford
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 16, 2016 1.30pm