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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Watford

Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Howson (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cathcart (38'), Adeyemo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Watford

Although they did suffer a disappointing defeat last time out, Middlesbrough are full of confidence under Carrick, and taking on a Watford side who are badly hit by injuries and struggling for consistency, we fancy them to come out on top at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
48.46% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01) 25.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.78% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)75.25% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79%22.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.62% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.02 0.02)72.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.46%
    Watford 25.63%
    Draw 25.9%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 25.63%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Watford

Middlesbrough
55.2%
Draw
27.6%
Watford
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 16, 2016 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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