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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Rotherham logo

Watford
1 - 1
Rotherham

Ferreira (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferguson (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawRotherham United
66.8% (-0.318 -0.32)20.08% (0.102 0.1)13.12% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 46.26% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (0.046999999999997 0.05)47.36% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.58% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)13.26% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.95% (-0.161 -0.16)40.05% (0.161 0.16)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.33% (0.372 0.37)46.67% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.76% (0.283 0.28)82.23% (-0.283 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Watford 66.8%
    Rotherham United 13.12%
    Draw 20.08%
WatfordDrawRotherham United
2-0 @ 12.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 66.8%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.08%
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.04 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.63% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 13.12%

How you voted: Watford vs Rotherham

Watford
80.8%
Draw
19.2%
Rotherham United
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Rotherham
1-1
Watford
Wood (2')
Harding (18'), Peltier (27'), Wiles (32')
Issouf Bayo (33')
Asprilla (41'), Kayembe (66')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Rotherham
1-4
Watford
Ladapo (68')
Sierralta (9'), Sarr (26'), Sema (39'), Gosling (69')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm