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Burnley vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Burnley
72.86%
▲
(+0.99)
Draw
17.37%
▼
(-0.68)
Fleetwood Town
9.77%
▼
(-0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
43.92%
▲
(+1.00)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.63%
▲
(+2.03)
Under 2.5
44.37%
▼
(-2.03)
Over 3.5
33.26%
▲
(+1.94)
Under 3.5
66.74%
▼
(-1.94)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
89.27%
▲
(+0.82)
Under 0.5
10.72%
▼
(-0.82)
Over 1.5
65.33%
▲
(+1.80)
Under 1.5
34.67%
▼
(-1.80)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
49.2%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 0.5
50.8%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 1.5
14.79%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 1.5
85.21%
▼
(-0.45)
Score analysis
Burnley
72.84%
Draw
17.37%
Fleetwood Town
9.77%
Burnley
2-0
@
13.57%
▼
(-0.27)
1-0 @ 12.16% ▼ (-0.67)
3-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.23)
4-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.27)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.25)
5-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 72.84%
1-0 @ 12.16% ▼ (-0.67)
3-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.23)
4-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.27)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.25)
5-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 72.84%
Draw
1-1
@
8.24%
▼
(-0.29)
0-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.50)
2-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 17.37%
0-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.50)
2-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 17.37%
Fleetwood Town
0-1
@
3.69%
▼
(-0.26)
1-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 9.77%
1-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 9.77%
Michael Kightly
44'