Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.