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Championship header 2

League One

Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Portsmouth

Fleetwood
0 - 2
Portsmouth

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bishop (43'), Pigott (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawPortsmouth
37.72% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)26.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)36.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.86% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.36% (0.065000000000005 0.07)50.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (0.057000000000002 0.06)72.55% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.027999999999992 0.03)26.16% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (0.038000000000004 0.04)61.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (0.039999999999992 0.04)27.05% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (0.052 0.05)62.42% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 37.72%
    Portsmouth 36.17%
    Draw 26.1%
Fleetwood TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.72%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.17%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Portsmouth

Fleetwood Town
22.7%
Draw
18.2%
Portsmouth
59.1%
22
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Fleetwood
Koroma (7')
Mendes Gomes (15')
Rooney (10')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-3
Fleetwood
Curtis (45' pen.), Harness (80'), O'Brien (90+5')
Curtis (50')
Pilkington (7'), Biggins (15'), Lane (41')
Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Brown (60')
Brown (24'), Curtis (43'), Freeman (63')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Marquis (16')
Whatmough (36')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
0-0
Fleetwood

Curtis (12'), Whatmough (31'), Williams (34'), Harness (41')

Madden (31'), Andrew (41'), Burns (45+1'), Duffy (90+4')