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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Fleetwood

Johnson (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawFleetwood Town
69.55% (0.010000000000005 0.01)18.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)11.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.13% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.42%
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.78% (0.0020000000000095 0)11.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)45.79% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.44% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)81.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 69.54%
    Fleetwood Town 11.99%
    Draw 18.46%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawFleetwood Town
2-0 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.96% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-1 @ 7%
4-0 @ 4.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 69.54%
1-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 5.14%
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.46%
0-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.99%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Fleetwood

Sheffield Wednesday
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Fleetwood
2-3
Sheff Weds
Camps (18'), Garner (34')
Garner (22'), Andrew (57'), Boyle (83')
Gregory (4', 73', 74')
Hutchinson (57'), Luongo (59')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
1-0
Fleetwood
Gregory (15')
Byers (17'), Johnson (34'), Bannan (69'), Iorfa (87')

Halliday (23'), Rossiter (35'), Morton (49'), Holgate (83'), Biggins (90+1')