EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals

Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 0
Portsmouth

Dadi Bodvarsson (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Portsmouth
52.69% ( 7.12)	23.5% ( -1.73)	23.81% ( -5.39)

Both teams to score 55.35% (

0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.55% (

3.39)

45.45% (

-3.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

3.15)

67.78% (

-3.15)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

4.22)

17.22% (

-4.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48% (

6.93)

47.52% (

-6.93)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

-2.46)

33.14% (

2.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

-2.81)

69.74% (

2.81)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 52.69%

Portsmouth 23.81%

Draw 23.49%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 1.03) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.99) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 1.17) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.69) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.74) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.69%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.88) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.87) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( -1.47) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.95) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -1.11) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.53) Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.81%