League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Exeter

Pack (57'), Morrell (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Exeter City
52.01% ( 0.01)	23.7% ( -0)	24.29% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.23% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.13% (

0.02)

45.87% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.82% (

0.02)

68.18% (

-0.01)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37% (

0.01)

17.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.77% (

0.02)

48.24% (

-0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

0.01)

32.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

0.01)

69.53% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 52%

Exeter City 24.29%

Draw 23.7%

Portsmouth	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52%	1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.29%