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Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Exeter City

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Exeter

Pack (57'), Morrell (74')
Thompson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartridge (70'), White (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Exeter City

 Although Portsmouth will be looking to end their 10-game winless run, we think that they will have to settle for a point against an Exeter side who are unbeaten in four matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
52.01% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)68.18% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)48.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)69.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 52%
    Exeter City 24.29%
    Draw 23.7%
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.29%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Exeter

Portsmouth
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Exeter City
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-0
Portsmouth

Stansfield (31')
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Exeter

Clarke (68'), Forde (79')
Wheeler (57')
Reid (78')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Portsmouth

Harley (25'), Sweeney (85'), Riley-Lowe (90')
Roberts (85' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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