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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Portsmouth

Bolton
3 - 0
Portsmouth

Charles (15'), Lee (48'), Toal (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrell (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth

While Bolton managed to get the better of Portsmouth on Tuesday, Pompey are unbeaten in their last four League One meetings against the Trotters, and we think that they will extend that run by holding their hosts to a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
56.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.12% (0.0020000000000024 0) 19.79%
Both teams to score 48.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)52.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 56.07%
    Portsmouth 19.8%
    Draw 24.12%
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 12.82%
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 56.07%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.8%

How you voted: Bolton vs Portsmouth

Bolton Wanderers
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Portsmouth
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bolton
Pitman (66')
Curtis (32'), Close (58')

Hobbs (45'), Lowe (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
13Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
14Blackpool186572631-523
15Leyton Orient196491920-122
16Stevenage176471316-322
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
18Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
19Bristol Rovers186391726-921
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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