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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Plymouth

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
64.37% (-1.815 -1.82)20.58% (0.904 0.9)15.04% (0.91 0.91)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.668 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-2.089 -2.09)45.5% (2.088 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-2.023 -2.02)67.83% (2.023 2.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (-1.158 -1.16)13.4% (1.156 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.66% (-2.378 -2.38)40.34% (2.378 2.38)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)42.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 64.36%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.04%
    Draw 20.58%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.74% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.347 -0.35)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.443 0.44)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.495 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.04%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Plymouth

Sheffield Wednesday
54.2%
Draw
25.0%
Plymouth Argyle
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sheff Weds
4-2
Plymouth
Sow (19'), Mendez-Laing (40'), Hutchinson (79'), Windass (84')
Luongo (56'), Hunt (88')
Randell (47'), Johnson (83' og.)
Broom (90+6')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Garrick (20', 67'), Hardie (36')

Brown (56'), Wildsmith (68')
Nov 7, 2021 12.15pm
First Round
Sheff Weds
0-0
Plymouth

Adeniran (47'), Wing (71')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Edwards (7'), Scarr (40'), Law (90+7')
Houghton (80')

Hutchinson (25'), Byers (40'), Sow (55'), Gregory (80')