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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Plymouth

Paterson (7')
Byers (45+2'), Paterson (54'), Vaulks (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Edwards (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

 Both sides boast plenty of quality and find themselves in impressive runs of form, and they will also be keen to avoid a defeat which could be particularly harmful to their automatic promotion bid, leading us to see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
64.37% (-1.815 -1.82) 20.58% (0.904 0.9) 15.04% (0.91 0.91)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.668 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-2.089 -2.09)45.5% (2.088 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-2.023 -2.02)67.83% (2.023 2.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (-1.158 -1.16)13.4% (1.156 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.66% (-2.378 -2.38)40.34% (2.378 2.38)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)42.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 64.36%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.04%
    Draw 20.58%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.74% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.347 -0.35)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.443 0.44)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.495 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.04%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Plymouth

Sheffield Wednesday
54.2%
Draw
25.0%
Plymouth Argyle
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-1
Sheff Weds
Hardie (3'), Cosgrove (90+1')
Edwards (41')
Palmer (7')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sheff Weds
4-2
Plymouth
Sow (19'), Mendez-Laing (40'), Hutchinson (79'), Windass (84')
Luongo (56'), Hunt (88')
Randell (47'), Johnson (83' og.)
Broom (90+6')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Garrick (20', 67'), Hardie (36')

Brown (56'), Wildsmith (68')
Nov 7, 2021 12.15pm
First Round
Sheff Weds
0-0
Plymouth

Adeniran (47'), Wing (71')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Edwards (7'), Scarr (40'), Law (90+7')
Houghton (80')

Hutchinson (25'), Byers (40'), Sow (55'), Gregory (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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