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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Sheff Weds
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Earl (71' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omochere (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawFleetwood Town
65.4% (-0.16 -0.16)19.99% (0.038 0.04)14.61% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.24% (0.093999999999994 0.09)43.76% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.85% (0.093000000000004 0.09)66.15% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.43% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)12.57% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)38.64% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79% (0.235 0.23)42.21% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38% (0.2 0.2)78.62% (-0.199 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 65.4%
    Fleetwood Town 14.61%
    Draw 19.99%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawFleetwood Town
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.89% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 65.4%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.58% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.09% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 14.61%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Fleetwood

Sheffield Wednesday
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Fleetwood Town
7.7%
39
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sheff Weds
1-0
Fleetwood
Johnson (17')
Palmer (86')

Vela (57'), Lynch (90+4')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Fleetwood
2-3
Sheff Weds
Camps (18'), Garner (34')
Garner (22'), Andrew (57'), Boyle (83')
Gregory (4', 73', 74')
Hutchinson (57'), Luongo (59')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
1-0
Fleetwood
Gregory (15')
Byers (17'), Johnson (34'), Bannan (69'), Iorfa (87')

Halliday (23'), Rossiter (35'), Morton (49'), Holgate (83'), Biggins (90+1')