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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Cheltenham Town

Plymouth
4 - 2
Cheltenham

Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Perry (40'), May (70')
Bonds (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Plymouth will be desperate to return to winning ways sooner rather than later and will likely see Saturday as a great opportunity to do so on home turf. With home advantage and quality all over the pitch, we back the league leaders to come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
65.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 14.73% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.15900000000001 0.16)44.66% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.153 0.15)67.02% (-0.152 -0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.043000000000006 0.04)12.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.087000000000003 0.09)39.42% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (0.152 0.15)42.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (0.128 0.13)78.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 65.01%
    Cheltenham Town 14.73%
    Draw 20.24%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 65.01%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cheltenham

Plymouth Argyle
95.2%
Draw
4.8%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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