League One Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Home Park
  • Dan Scarr 26' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 28' goal
  • Callum Wright 64' goal
  • Sam Cosgrove 83' goal
  • goal Taylor Perry 40'
  • goal Alfie May 70'

Plymouth Argyle vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
Ipswich 1 - 1 Plymouth
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Ryan Hardie

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
Cheltenham 2 - 3 Derby
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alfie May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 65.02% (-0.03)
Draw 20.24% (-0.02)
Cheltenham Town 14.73% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.97% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.34% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 44.66% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 32.98% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 67.02% (-0.16)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 87.05% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 12.95% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 60.58% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 39.42% (-0.09)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.4% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 42.6% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 21.05% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 78.95% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 65.01%
Draw 20.24%
Cheltenham Town 14.73%
Plymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 65.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.24%
Cheltenham Town
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.11% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.73%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 78'
League One Gameweek 31
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Niall Ennis 14' goal
  • Danny Mayor 42' goal
  • yellowcard Charlie Colkett 90'
League One Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dan Crowley 82' yellowcard
  • goal Panutche Camara 42'
  • goal Jordon Garrick 75'
EFL Trophy
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Reuben Reid 56' goal
  • Reuben Reid 77' goal
  • Alfie May 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Cooper 87'
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Zak Rudden 33'
  • yellowcard Gary Sawyer 45'
League Two Gameweek 10
Sep 21, 2019 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • yellowcard Jake Doyle-Hayes 18'
  • goal Luke Varney 40'
  • yellowcard Luke Varney 50'
  • yellowcard Charlie Raglan 88'
  • goal Will Aimson 91' (OG)