League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
4 - 2
Cheltenham

Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Perry (40'), May (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Derby
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Cheltenham Town
65.02% ( -0.02)	20.24% ( -0.02)	14.73% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.97% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.34% (

0.16)

44.66% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98% (

0.15)

67.02% (

-0.15)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

0.04)

12.95% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58% (

0.09)

39.42% (

-0.09)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.4% (

0.15)

42.6% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.05% (

0.13)

78.95% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 65.01%

Cheltenham Town 14.73%

Draw 20.24%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Cheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 65.01%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.24%	0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.73%