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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 44.26% ( | 25.61% ( | 30.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50% ( | 49.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.02% ( | 71.97% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( | 22.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.89% ( | 56.11% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( | 30.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% ( | 66.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.13% |