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Championship header 2

League One

Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Oxford United

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Eastwood (40' og.), Taylor (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Shrewsbury
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
35.06% (0.07 0.07)25.38% (0.026 0.03)39.57% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.1 -0.1)47.56% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)69.77% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.36% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)23.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (-0.133 -0.13)57.93% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.06%
    Oxford United 39.57%
    Draw 25.38%
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.06%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.57%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Oxford Utd

Burton Albion
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Burton Albion
Brannagan (48'), Joseph (71')
Findlay (86')
Adeboyejo (77')
Hughes (58'), Brayford (60')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-1
Burton Albion
Baldock (7', 40'), Whyte (35'), Taylor (45')
Guedioura (45+2')
Saydee (29')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Oxford Utd
Lakin (80')
Bostwick (38'), Akins (53'), Hemmings (86')
Taylor (1'), Holland (43'), Henry (84' pen.)
Brannagan (68')
Aug 11, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Burton Albion
1-1
Oxford Utd
 Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties
Mousinho (90+6' og.)
Holland (85')
Bodin (77')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Oxford Utd
4-0
Burton Albion
Shodipo (10'), Taylor (28'), Lee (57'), Winnall (90+2')

Mancienne (11'), Taylor (56'), Gilligan (72'), Carter (79')
rhs 2.0


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