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Championship header 2

League One

Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Burton Albion
0 - 4
Shrewsbury

FT(HT: 0-2)
Saydee (1', 43'), Leahy (58' pen.), Dunkley (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Sunderland
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
51.39% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)25.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)23.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.2% (0.061 0.06)53.8% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.73% (0.051000000000002 0.05)75.27% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.010000000000005 0.01)20.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (0.012 0.01)53.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (0.079000000000001 0.08)38.29% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (0.077000000000002 0.08)75.05% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 51.39%
    Shrewsbury Town 23.21%
    Draw 25.4%
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 23.21%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury

Burton Albion
57.1%
Draw
0.0%
Shrewsbury Town
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-1
Burton Albion
Saydee (13'), Bowman (66')
Adeboyejo (57')
Borthwick-Jackson (71')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Shrewsbury
Bloxham (35'), Pennington (59')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-1
Burton Albion

Leahy (76')
Brayford (31')
David Leak (61'), Powell (87')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
1-2
Shrewsbury
Clare (60')
Main (7'), Chapman (56')
Ogbeta (78'), Main (90')
Nov 3, 2020 6pm
Shrewsbury
1-1
Burton Albion
Udoh (90+9')
Udoh (65'), Daniels (76'), Ebanks-Landell (88')
Hemmings (59')
Edwards (24'), O'Hara (86'), Varney (90+5')