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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 35.1% | 28.18% | 36.72% |
| Both teams to score 47.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.08% | 58.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.6% | 79.4% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% | 31.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.8% | 68.2% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% | 30.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.99% | 67.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.1% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.77% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.72% |