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League One | Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Cambridge United

Fleetwood
1 - 0
Cambridge

Rooney (88')
Mendes Gomes (34'), Warrington (78'), Vela (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennett (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Cambridge United

Fleetwood are the side in better form coming into this clash, but Cambridge will be encouraged by their display last time out against Plymouth. We think this will be a closely-fought contest, but Cambridge's away form this season makes us favour a narrow Fleetwood win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawCambridge United
47.56% (-0.818 -0.82) 26.47% (0.249 0.25) 25.97% (0.568 0.57)
Both teams to score 48.35% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (-0.546 -0.55)55.68% (0.545 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (-0.449 -0.45)76.83% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.61 -0.61)23.42% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.892 -0.89)57.42% (0.891 0.89)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (0.192 0.19)36.85% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.193 0.19)73.64% (-0.194 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 47.55%
    Cambridge United 25.97%
    Draw 26.46%
Fleetwood TownDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Cambridge

Fleetwood Town
71.4%
Draw
9.5%
Cambridge United
19.0%
42
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-2
Fleetwood
May (35'), Tracey (51')
Digby (30')
Hill (2'), Lane (76')
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Cambridge
1-0
Fleetwood
Appiah (80')

Hitchcock (68')
Proctor (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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