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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Oxford United

Cambridge
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Jones (8')
Bennett (72'), Jones (83'), Ironside (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baldock (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-3 Oxford United

Whichever way you slice it, Cambridge have been one of the worst teams in League One this season, which naturally gives almost every opponent the edge. Oxford may not be purring themselves, but Robinson's side should have enough to extend Cambridge's woeful start to 2023 by ending their own run of poor form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
26.41% (0.465 0.47) 26.44% (0.035 0.04) 47.14% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.164 0.16)55.3% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.136 0.14)76.52% (-0.139 -0.14)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.482 0.48)36.27% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94% (0.488 0.49)73.05% (-0.491 -0.49)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)23.46% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-0.235 -0.23)57.47% (0.231 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 26.41%
    Oxford United 47.14%
    Draw 26.44%
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.41%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 12.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.14%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Oxford Utd

Cambridge United
38.5%
Draw
7.7%
Oxford United
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-2
Cambridge
Taylor (36'), Brannagan (64', 90'), Baldock (72')
Brannagan (9'), Whyte (45+1')
Smith (6', 56')
Brophy (10'), Dunk (21'), O'Neil (90+2')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Cambridge
4-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
1-1
Oxford Utd
Ironside (78' pen.)
O'Neil (31')
Seddon (42')
Williams (30'), Seddon (88')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Hall (74')
Kelly (90+2')

Davies (64'), Darling (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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