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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
51.2% ( -0.01) | 25.07% ( -0) | 23.73% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( 0.01) | 52.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( 0.01) | 73.8% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% | 20.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.27% | 52.73% ( 0) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.15% ( 0.02) | 36.85% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.36% ( 0.02) | 73.64% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.65% Total : 51.19% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |