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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Shrewsbury


Long (83'), Moore (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowman (74')
Phillips (35'), Flanagan (55'), Shipley (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Barnsley
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

Despite Shrewsbury not being able to get the better of Oxford in the last eight meetings between the sides, they are in much better form than their opponents on Saturday, so we think they will claim all three points. The sides shared the spoils in the reverse fixture back in November, but we think the Shrews can extend their winning streak here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
51.2% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.012 0.01)52.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.8% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27%52.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)36.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)73.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 51.19%
    Shrewsbury Town 23.73%
    Draw 25.07%
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.73%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Shrewsbury

Oxford United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Shrewsbury Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-3
Oxford Utd
Pennington (16'), Vela (25')
Walker (62')
Lee (3'), Henry (68'), Agyei (85')
Agyei (90+6')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Oxford Utd
4-1
Shrewsbury
Atkinson (13'), Lee (36'), Taylor (66'), Long (77')
Brannagan (74')
Chapman (51')
Vela (64'), Norburn (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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