League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Feb 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Barnsley

Moore (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thomas (30'), Cadden (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Barnsley
43.71% ( 0.02)	25.43% ( 0.01)	30.85% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.7% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.06% (

-0.03)

48.94% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.97% (

-0.03)

71.02% (

0.03)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

-0.01)

22.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18% (

-0.01)

55.81% (

0.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

-0.03)

29.57% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4% (

-0.04)

65.6% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 43.71%

Barnsley 30.85%

Draw 25.43%

Oxford United	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.71%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.85%