League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Forest Green

Pyke (90+4'), Bowman (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garrick (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
46.11% ( -0.39)	25.72% ( -0.04)	28.17% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 52.23% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.56% (

0.43)

51.44% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.75% (

0.38)

73.25% (

-0.37)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

22.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26% (

55.74% (

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2% (

0.57)

32.79% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64% (

0.63)

69.36% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 46.11%

Forest Green Rovers 28.17%

Draw 25.72%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.11%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.17%