League One Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Rekeil Pyke 90'+4' goal
  • Ryan Bowman 90'+8' goal
  • goal Jordon Garrick 18'

Shrewsbury Town vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
MK Dons 0 - 1 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Luke Leahy

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Bolton 1 - 0 Forest Green
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Connor Wickham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result

Shrewsbury Town 46.11% (-0.40)
Draw 25.72% (-0.05)
Forest Green Rovers 28.17% (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.23% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.56% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 51.44% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 26.75% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 73.25% (-0.38)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.71% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.28%
Over 1.5 44.26% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.74% (+0.01)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 67.2% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 32.79% (-0.57)
Over 1.5 30.64% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 69.36% (-0.63)

Score analysis

Shrewsbury Town 46.11%
Draw 25.72%
Forest Green Rovers 28.17%
Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.56% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 46.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.12% (+0.08)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 25.72%
Forest Green Rovers
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.54% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.53% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 28.17%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The New Lawn
  • Corey O'Keeffe 44' yellowcard
  • Ben Stevenson 45'+9' yellowcard
  • Luke McGee 72' yellowcard
  • goal Rekeil Pyke 10'
  • goal Jordan Shipley 48'
  • yellowcard Tom Bayliss 72'
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 83'