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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Forest Green Rovers

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Forest Green

Pyke (90+4'), Bowman (90+8')
Saydee (90+6'), Flanagan (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garrick (18')
Godwin-Malife (2'), Bakayoko (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shrewsbury Town 3-1 Forest Green Rovers

Shrewsbury look destined to extend their winning streak to four games when they host Forest Green, whose last victory came all the way back on December 10. Given that Rovers have scored in five of their last six games, Shrewsbury could struggle to keep a clean sheet on Saturday, but the hosts are expected to outscore the visitors with ease. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawForest Green Rovers
46.11% (-0.394 -0.39) 25.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 28.17% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.443 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56% (0.432 0.43)51.44% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75% (0.376 0.38)73.25% (-0.372 -0.37)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.74% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.569 0.57)32.79% (-0.565 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.627 0.63)69.36% (-0.623 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 46.11%
    Forest Green Rovers 28.17%
    Draw 25.72%
Shrewsbury TownDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.11%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Forest Green

Shrewsbury Town
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
Forest Green Rovers
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Forest Green
0-2
Shrewsbury

O'Keeffe (44'), Stevenson (45+9'), McGee (72')
Pyke (10'), Shipley (48')
Bayliss (72'), Moore (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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