League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
1 - 2
MK Dons

Peart-Harris (29')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Eisa (43', 51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

League One

Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	MK Dons
40.23% ( -0.62)	26.97% ( -0.08)	32.81% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 50.53% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.36% (

0.47)

54.64% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.03% (

0.39)

75.97% (

-0.39)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

-0.12)

26.64% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

-0.16)

61.88% (

0.16)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

0.72)

31.12% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

0.83)

67.45% (

-0.83)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 40.22%

MK Dons 32.81%

Draw 26.97%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.22%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.81%