Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.