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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
MK Dons

Forest Green
1 - 2
MK Dons

FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (43', 51')
Johnson (48'), McEachran (55'), Cumming (86'), Grant (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-0 MK Dons

This is destined to be a close-fought battle between two sides struggling at the bottom end of the table, meaning Forest Green and MK Dons are likely to play out a tense, low-scoring encounter. Given that Rovers have won two of their previous four home games in the league, the hosts could sneak another slender victory on Saturday, having produced a spirited performance against Championship opposition last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
40.23% (-0.623 -0.62) 26.97% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 32.81% (0.705 0.7)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (0.47499999999999 0.47)54.64% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (0.394 0.39)75.97% (-0.392 -0.39)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)26.64% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-0.157 -0.16)61.88% (0.16 0.16)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.723 0.72)31.12% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.833 0.83)67.45% (-0.83 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 40.22%
    MK Dons 32.81%
    Draw 26.97%
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.81%

How you voted: Forest Green vs MK Dons

Forest Green Rovers
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
MK Dons
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Forest Green
Aneke (31')
Cisse (89')
Reid (80' pen.)
Gunning (52')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Forest Green
0-1
MK Dons
Ariyibi (110')
Cisse (28'), Ebanks-Landell (37'), Williams (45'), Downing (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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