League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 0
Forest Green

Charles (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Bolton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 11.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
69.99% ( 0.04)	18.43% ( -0.03)	11.58% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.89% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.04% (

0.09)

43.97% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.65% (

0.09)

66.35% (

-0.09)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.63% (

0.04)

11.37% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.92% (

0.08)

36.09% (

-0.08)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.91% (

0.05)

47.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.44% (

0.04)

82.56% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 69.98%

Forest Green Rovers 11.58%

Draw 18.43%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 69.98%	1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 18.43%	0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.58%