League One Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 6' goal

Bolton Wanderers vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
Derby 2 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
Forest Green 1 - 2 MK Dons
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Connor Wickham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 11.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 69.99% (+0.04)
Draw 18.43% (-0.03)
Forest Green Rovers 11.58% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.89% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.04% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 43.97% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 33.65% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 66.35% (-0.09)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 88.63% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 11.37% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 63.92% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 36.09% (-0.08)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 52.91% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 47.1% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 17.44% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 82.56% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 69.98%
Draw 18.43%
Forest Green Rovers 11.58%
Bolton Wanderers
2-0 @ 12.65% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 9.17% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.91% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.76% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 69.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 18.43%
Forest Green Rovers
0-1 @ 4.03% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 11.58%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Connor Wickham 32' goal
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The New Lawn
  • Aaron Collins 76' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 39'
League Two Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Brandon Comley 40' yellowcard
  • Reiss Greenidge 49' yellowcard
  • Alex Baptiste 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Kitching 35'
  • goal Carl Winchester 50'