/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog.png)
-
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
16'
-
Conor Hourihane
72'
-
Kieran Sadlier
90'+3'
Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F01%2Fbolton-wanderers.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Derby County
51.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
24.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Bolton Wanderers
24.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
51.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.76%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
50.24%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
27.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
72.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
80.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
19.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
48.32%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
51.68%
▼
(-0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5
64.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
35.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
27.86%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
72.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Derby County
51.03%
Draw
24.73%
Bolton Wanderers
24.24%
Derby County
1-0
@
11.32%
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.03%
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.03%
Draw
1-1
@
11.76%
0-0 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.73%
0-0 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.73%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1
@
7.24%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.24%
