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Championship header 2

League One

MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Shrewsbury Town

MK Dons
0 - 1
Shrewsbury

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bayliss (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 5-1 Cambridge
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawShrewsbury Town
53.86% (0.093000000000004 0.09)24.78% (0.052 0.05)21.36% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (-0.344 -0.34)53.23% (0.348 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (-0.291 -0.29)74.79% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)19.72% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.26% (-0.158 -0.16)51.74% (0.162 0.16)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (-0.34 -0.34)39.79% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (-0.316 -0.32)76.46% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.85%
    Shrewsbury Town 21.36%
    Draw 24.78%
MK DonsDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 53.85%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.36%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Shrewsbury

MK Dons
45.0%
Draw
20.0%
Shrewsbury Town
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-1
MK Dons
Bayliss (24'), Shipley (45+2')
Jules (54')
Oyegoke (45+2')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Shrewsbury
Eisa (17'), Twine (54')

Bowman (10'), Flanagan (54'), Bennett (71'), Vela (78'), Leahy (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
MK Dons
Whalley (56')
Whalley (30'), Leahy (36')

Darling (45+1')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Shrewsbury
4-2
MK Dons
Goss (4', 57'), Norburn (8' pen.), Main (20' pen.)
Norburn (63'), Daniels (81'), Edwards (90+5')
Grigg (22'), Brown (82')
Jerome (59'), Darling (90+5')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
MK Dons
2-2
Shrewsbury
Morris (54'), Jerome (70')
Fraser (37'), Sorinola (82')
Whalley (1'), Pugh (49')
High (53')