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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Oxford United

MK Dons
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Kaikai (25')
Maghoma (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bate (71')
Fleming (13'), Brannagan (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 0-2 Oxford United

We believe that Oxford will put an end to the poor form that they have suffered as of late and will find a more clinical edge to their performance as they have not suffered from a lack of ability to create goalscoring situations. MK Dons will set up well, however, a lack of ability to highly threaten Oxford's goal could leave them unstuck in this contest and therefore we think that this contest will end 2-0 in the away side's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawOxford United
43.13% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 25.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 31.04% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (0.038999999999998 0.04)72.47% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.0040000000000049 0)57.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.051999999999992 0.05)30.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)66.43% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 43.13%
    Oxford United 31.04%
    Draw 25.82%
MK DonsDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.13%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.04%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Oxford Utd

MK Dons
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Oxford United
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
MK Dons
Mousinho (89')
Smith (44'), Grigg (84' pen.)
McEachran (59')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
MK Dons
Bodin (86')
McNally (43'), Taylor (90+1'), (90+3'), Brannagan (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Oxford Utd
Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')
Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Oxford Utd
Surman (13')
Mason (48'), Fisher (84'), Gladwin (90'), Laird (90+3')
Lee (90+7')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
MK Dons
Taylor (6'), Long (58'), Shodipo (88')
Henry (45+4'), Taylor (82')
Jerome (11'), Gladwin (90+2')
Kasumu (19'), Houghton (37'), Lewington (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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